Likely helped
- No clear beneficiaries surfaced yet.
H.R. 9222 (119th)Bill Overview
To ban stock trading and prediction market participation for the President, Vice President…
domestic policy
Current stageCommittee
Referred to the Committee on the Judiciary, and in addition to the Committees on Oversight and Government Reform, House Administration, Ways and Means, and Rules, for a period to…
Introduced
Committee
Floor
President
Law
01 · The brief
Plain-English summaryWhat this bill actually does
To ban stock trading and prediction market participation for the President, Vice President, and Members of Congress, suspend pay for Members of Congress during shutdowns, establish term limits for Congress, establish term limits and ethics rules for the Supreme Court, reform the presidential pardon power, revoke the statute of limitations for the President and Vice President, strengthen the foreign and domestic emoluments clauses, overturn Citizens United, ban dark money, corporate PACS, and partisan gerrymandering, end voter suppression, and restrict government pensions for felony convictions and lawsuits by the President, and for other purposes.
Why people may split
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Watch point
The next hurdle is converting committee movement into a floor coalition.
To ban stock trading and prediction market participation for the President, Vice President, and Members of Congress, suspend pay for Members of Congress during shutdowns, establish term limits for Congress, establish term limits and ethics rules for the Supreme Court, reform the presidential pardon power, revoke the statute of limitations for the President and Vice President, strengthen the foreign and domestic emoluments clauses, overturn Citizens United, ban dark money, corporate PACS, and partisan gerrymandering, end voter suppression, and restrict government pensions for felony convictions and lawsuits by the President, and for other purposes.
Passage38/100
This bill has moved beyond introduction, but committee and floor dynamics still determine whether it can build durable support.
CredibilityPartial
How solid the drafting looks.
Contention62/100
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
02 · What it does
Who stands to gain, and who may push back.
Likely benefits vs burdens0% / 100%
Likely helpedLikely burdened
These are examples from the analysis, not a ranked list of the most-affected groups.
Likely burdened
- No clear downsides surfaced yet.
03 · Why people split
Why the argument around this bill splits.
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Progressive—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Centrist—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
Conservative—
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
04 · Can it pass?
The path through Congress.
Introduced
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Committee
Reached or meaningfully advanced
Floor
Still ahead
President
Still ahead
Law
Still ahead
Passage likelihood38/100
This bill has moved beyond introduction, but committee and floor dynamics still determine whether it can build durable support.
Why this could stall
- The next hurdle is converting committee movement into a floor coalition.
05 · Recent votes
Recent votes on the bill.
No vote history yet
The bill has not accumulated any surfaced votes yet.
06 · Go deeper
Go deeper than the headline read.
Included on this page
The main political fault lines are not fully surfaced yet, so coalition durability is still unclear.
This bill has moved beyond introduction, but committee and floor dynamics still determine whether it can build durable support.
Unlocked analysis
Pro readers get the full perspective split, passage barriers, legislative design review, stakeholder impact map, and lens-based policy tradeoff analysis for To ban stock trading and prediction market participation for t…
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Perspective breakdownsPassage barriersLegislative design reviewStakeholder impact map
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