She's a pleasant surprise. A lot comes down to which movies on the Oscar portal voters are inclined to watch all the way through. My sense is that they're watching that one, and I don't think that category has anything close to a locked top five right now.

Congress Member Profile|U.S. Representative|Republican|North Carolina District 8
Mark Harris
Source: Wikipedia • View full (CC BY-SA)
SoupScoreanalysis-first civic rating · view full breakdown
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Voting Record — 567
Yes75%
No24%
Present0%
Not Voting0%
Party align93%
Cross-party1%
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District Map
Congressional District 8
U.S. Census Bureau boundary data.
Social & Web
External Resources

Mark Harris
U.S. RepresentativeRepublicanNorth Carolina District 8
SoupScore
Mark's ATmosphere Activity
20 recent posts · 14 sponsored · 74 cosponsored
Recent ATmosphere posts, sponsorships, and cosponsorships.
Well, no Democrat is "running a national campaign on trans rights," so you don't need to worry about that. But if you mean that Democrats should cut trans people loose and concede to the GOP position on trans rights, then you're earning the responses you get. It's the wrong fight to pick here.
One big divide here is between those who feel we all need to tolerate differences and tonal slips a little more graciously, and those who believe that jerks, scolds, pills, one-uppers, and compulsive irritants and correctors need to be blocked into the sun. Not sure how those visions get reconciled.
This place is a mess right now. If we want it to be better, we all have to own our share of responsibility for making it better.
My special kind of bread. The monsters.
Don't you hate it when you're in the grocery store late at night and you're stuck behind somebody who's complaining to the manager that they're out of something?
That was me. You were stuck behind me tonight. I have apparently become that person, clutching a reusable bag and whining. Happy 2026.
Yes, it feels like there's a Timmy/Leo bout and a Moura/Hawke undercard. But none of those four winning would truly shock me.
lol sometimes that's what it feels like! I will say that the portion of Collective Pundit Brain that suggested, early in the season, that it was Ariana Grande's "time" feels pretty far removed, in my experience, from the way Oscar voters think. (Now watch her win.)
It actually feels to me like Madigan is becoming the closest thing to a frontrunner in any of the four categories. If she loses, that means somebody else has to win, and I don't know who that would be.
This story is wild. Worth every word. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/30/s...
No problem at all here, nothing to see, everybody just keep moving.
Sunday is a big day here for "It won't work" and "Actually" and "You're so naive" and "Like there'll even BE elections." I get the power of depression and despair, but I'm still gonna block everyone who comes at me with that, because in a contest between your need to vent and my self-care, I win.
One thing all Democrats running in 2026 and 2028 should be explicit about is a promise that regardless of pardons, the crimes committed by everyone in this administration will be investigated and published.
Rethinking this.
Trump has now nodded off several times while standing up.
SoupScore Breakdown
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Voting History567 total votesExpandCollapse
Voting History
567 total votes
Recent roll calls with party-majority context so it is easier to scan how this member tends to vote.
| Date | Bill | Question | Position | Party Maj | Align? | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | H.R. 30 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-16 | H.R. 30 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2025-01-15 | H.R. 33 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-15 | H.R. 144 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-15 | H.R. 164 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-14 | H.R. 28 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-14 | H.R. 28 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2025-01-14 | H.R. 153 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-14 | H.R. 152 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-13 | H.R. 192 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-09 | H.R. 23 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-07 | H.R. 29 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-03 | H. Res. 5 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-03 | H. Res. 5 (119th) | Motion to Commit with Instructions | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2025-01-03 | H. Res. 5 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2025-01-03 | — | Election of the Speaker | NOT_VOTING | — | — | Johnson (LA) |
| 2025-01-03 | — | Call by States | PRESENT | — | — | Passed |
Alignment stats consider only votes where a clear yes/no majority existed for the legislator's party. Cross-party marks divergence where the vote matched the opposite party majority. ↔ indicates cross-party divergence.
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