key difference is that Monty Hall only has the counterintuitive outcome _because the person opening the door has knowledge you don't have_. In DOND, swapping can never have any effect, because no-one has added any information to the mix
Congress Member Profile|U.S. Representative|Republican|Oklahoma District 1
Kevin Hern
SoupScoreanalysis-first civic rating · view full breakdown
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Voting Record — 613
Yes76%
No21%
Present0%
Not Voting3%
Party align97%
Cross-party1%
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District Map
Congressional District 1
U.S. Census Bureau boundary data.
Social & Web
External Resources
Kevin Hern
U.S. RepresentativeRepublicanOklahoma District 1
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Kevin's ATmosphere Activity
20 recent posts · 18 sponsored · 30 cosponsored
Recent ATmosphere posts, sponsorships, and cosponsorships.
GREAT stat: one in six of all British prime ministers _ever_ will be at Remembrance Sunday this year. [assuming nothing bad happens] [pray 4 JMPM] diamondgeezer.blogspot.com/2026/06/all-...
Cool storm
Yes but the counterpoint here is that the thread is also implicitly an explanation of why HDM is SO good, since it does the same shift and pulls it off
Oh you gotta read the Wayfairers books too then
…did you forget to pick up the kids cam
amazing
by my count I reckon politics started in around March 2014, gearing up for the locals, and hasn't stopped since
we must dream of a politics that _stops_
still chuckle at the former colleague who chirpily said, just after the 2016 local elections, "it's been nonstop politics since the independence referendum two years ago… mad to think that there's just the EU ref and the US election and then it'll basically be nothing until 2020"
well it still worked
just feel it's moderately useful to actually share banal AI wins here given the tone of conversation otherwise
One-shotted
Hi Jamie
Fucking hell I’d deliberately not been paying attention that’s mad
Is this your first time through?
Ah yes. Still not supposed to be profitable per se!
The intent of the law is very very obvious: you should not be able to turn a profit _solely_ from running a raffle. Feels like parliament needs to legislate to fix it.
SoupScore Breakdown
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Voting History613 total votesExpandCollapse
Voting History
613 total votes
Recent roll calls with party-majority context so it is easier to scan how this member tends to vote.
| Date | Bill | Question | Position | Party Maj | Align? | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | YES | ✓ | Agreed to |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | NO | YES | ✕↔ | Failed |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | NO | NO | ✓ | Agreed to |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | YES | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | NO | ✕↔ | Agreed to |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | YES | ✓ | Agreed to |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | YES | ✓ | Agreed to |
| 2026-04-30 | H.R. 7567 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | YES | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-30 | S. Con. Res. 33 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-29 | S. 1318 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-29 | H. Res. 1224 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-29 | H. Res. 1224 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-27 | H.R. 227 (119th) | Fast-track passage | NOT_VOTING | YES | — | Passed |
| 2026-04-27 | H.R. 7959 (119th) | Fast-track passage | NOT_VOTING | YES | — | Passed |
| 2026-04-23 | H.R. 5587 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-22 | H.R. 6387 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-22 | H.R. 6387 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-22 | H.R. 4690 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-22 | H.R. 4690 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-22 | H. Res. 1182 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-22 | H. Res. 1189 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-22 | H. Res. 1189 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-21 | S. 1020 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-21 | H.R. 2493 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-21 | H.R. 5201 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-20 | H.R. 5200 (119th) | Fast-track passage | NOT_VOTING | YES | — | Passed |
| 2026-04-20 | H.R. 1681 (119th) | Fast-track passage | NOT_VOTING | YES | — | Passed |
| 2026-04-17 | H. Res. 1175 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-17 | H. Res. 1175 (119th) | Approve amendment | YES | YES | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-17 | H. Res. 1175 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-16 | H. Res. 1156 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-16 | H.R. 1689 (119th) | Final passage | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-16 | H. Res. 965 (119th) | Approve resolution | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-16 | H.R. 6398 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-16 | H.R. 6398 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-16 | H.R. 6409 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-16 | H.R. 6409 (119th) | Send back to committee | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-16 | H. Con. Res. 40 (119th) | Approve resolution | NO | NO | ✓ | Failed |
| 2026-04-15 | H. Res. 965 (119th) | Motion to Discharge | NO | NO | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-15 | H. Res. 1174 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-15 | H. Res. 1174 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-14 | H.R. 7613 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-04-14 | H.R. 1011 (119th) | Fast-track passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-03-28 | H. Res. 1142 (119th) | Approve resolution | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-03-28 | H. Res. 1142 (119th) | End debate now | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-03-28 | — | Motion to Adjourn | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
| 2026-03-27 | H.R. 7084 (119th) | Final passage | NOT_VOTING | YES | — | Passed |
| 2026-03-26 | H.R. 8029 (119th) | Final passage | YES | YES | ✓ | Passed |
Alignment stats consider only votes where a clear yes/no majority existed for the legislator's party. Cross-party marks divergence where the vote matched the opposite party majority. ↔ indicates cross-party divergence.